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Facebook is as dominant as IBM once was, Deutsche Bank says


Mark Zuckerberg, chief executive officer and founder of Facebook

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Mark Zuckerberg, chief executive officer and founder of Facebook

Facebook is now as dominant in advertising as IBM was in the corporate technology market a generation ago, according to one Wall Street firm.

Deutsche Bank reiterated its buy rating for Facebook shares, predicting the social media giant will report sales above expectations next year.

“Facebook is the new IBM (in a good way). Just as the saying went that ‘nobody got fired for buying IBM’ in enterprise tech, we think FB is growing into a similar position in advertising, with best-in-class ad systems (targeting, creative and attribution); a large growing audience across numerous products; and a well-oiled sales machine,” analyst Lloyd Walmsley wrote in a note to clients Thursday.

“We see Facebook as having the most upside to estimates over the next 6-12 months and our favorite name among the large cap Internet space.”

Facebook shares rose 0.3 percent in Thursday’s premarket session after the report.

Walmsley raised his price target for the company to $220 from $215, representing 31 percent upside to Wednesday’s close.

The analyst cited recent conversations with ad agency executives, which revealed strength in spending for Facebook ads.

“Our recent ad conversations point to continued growth in same client spend, some noting an acceleration in 3Q relative to 2Q (with particular strength in July),” he wrote. “While the important September month is not closed the breadth of positivity makes us comfortable increasing our estimates nonetheless.”

As a result, Walmsley raised his 2018 Facebook revenue forecast to $52.2 billion from $50.5 billion versus the $50.7 billion Wall Street consensus.

The company’s shares have rallied 45.8 percent this year through Wednesday, compared with the market’s 12 percent gain. But the stock is down 2.5 percent this month compared with the S&P 500’s 1.4 percent gain.

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