Macron’s State of the Union address: what next for France

Charly Triballeau | AFP | Getty Images

Mayor of Le Havre Edouard Philippe speaks as he presents the candidates for the ‘La Republique en marche’ party ahead of the June parliamentary elections

Known as a ‘general policy statement’, the speech may also conclude with an optional confidence vote.

This is risky as failure by the National Assembly to endorse Philippe’s statement would lead to the collapse of his government under the French Constitution. However, validation would provide the government with a stronger mandate to drive ahead with reforms.

The government may be willing to take this gamble given the broad support Macron’s La Republique En March (LREM) movement received in presidential and parliamentary elections this year.

However, analysts have suggested that LREM’s popularity among lawmakers may not be as far reaching as hoped and such a vote could be unwise.

“You’ve had two consecutive presidents now who have come in with a grand reform agenda and have got absolutely nowhere. Macron looks like maybe he’ll be more successful but his party is already a coalition, he’s already taken from the left and the right,” James Athey, global fund manager at Aberdeen Asset Management, told CNBC Tuesday.

“There really isn’t much of it that you can really say, hand on heart, the entirety of his recently cobbled together party are really going to go for.”

Philippe is due to make his speech at 3pm C.E.T. Tuesday.

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